White Christmas ? - time will tell

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wmb
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by wmb » Fri Dec 19, 2014 9:37 pm

Models seem to be very uncertain, though I wonder if it was the ECMWF Christmas part today and someone has spilt some mulled wine in the back of the computer!
Could be very mild very cold, very windy or more likely in Cumbria, very wet over Christmas!

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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Sat Dec 20, 2014 6:49 pm

Little chance of a white Christmas - chilly, frost but thats about it - could be worse
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Carl M » Sun Dec 21, 2014 10:03 am

Paul C wrote:Little chance of a white Christmas - chilly, frost but thats about it - could be worse
Yes, looks fairly sunny even a frost would do.
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Sun Dec 21, 2014 7:59 pm

Looks nailed on now, little change. Sunny, frosty at night ?
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by darrog » Sun Dec 21, 2014 10:51 pm

Beyond Christmas (so it won't get mentioned for the next few days) next weekend looks very interesting indeed.
gfs - euro model
Very low depression tracking north of us, slowly sinking SE, northerly winds on the western flank.
At present forecast is max of 6c - Min of -1.0c and rain - I think that will change if the depression remains as the models show it now.
It would definitely be very stormy - but will it be wet and wild or a snow storm?

other models are available and may suggest something different!
Last edited by darrog on Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Paul C
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Sun Dec 21, 2014 11:41 pm

darrog wrote:Beyond Christmas (so it won't get mentioned for the next few days) next weekend looks very interesting indeed.
Very low depression north of us, slowly sinking SE, northerly winds on the eastern flank.
At present forecast is max of 6c - Min of -1.0c and rain - I think that will change if the depression remains as the models show it now.
It would definitely be very stormy - but will it be wet and wild or a snow storm?
I had tried to resist the temptation of posting the charts after Christmas - I may start now - all depends on the track

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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by rjd1000 » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:46 am

looks good for the day, would have taken that without a thought after the last few christmas's

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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Mon Dec 22, 2014 8:26 pm

Set in stone now, cold clear and dry Christmas
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Mon Dec 22, 2014 8:28 pm

Post Christmas Northerley - dry for us perhaps ?
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Re: White Christmas ? - time will tell

Post by Paul C » Tue Dec 23, 2014 6:51 pm

No change, dry sunny frosty at night
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