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 December Outlook 
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 Post subject: December Outlook
PostPosted: Mon Nov 30, 2009 5:48 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Well we are heading now into Winter, fingers crossed for some proper snow

Met office extended outlook, not bad but no real mention of lowland snow as yet. I think we may have wait a little longer

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 Dec 2009 to Monday 14 Dec 2009:
Saturday will be a generally cloudy and wet day for most parts with outbreaks of heavy rain spreading across England and Wales, and Northern Ireland. Scotland will be somewhat drier, but with the risk of some sleet or snow over the mountains here. Rain will clear most areas overnight with a possible frost. A cold dry start in eastern areas, before further rain spreads from the west through Sunday. The following week and the subsequent weekend looks like it will remain unsettled with periods of rain or showers, and possible occasional sleet or snow over northern hills. Temperatures near normal in the south, rather cool in the north. It will be windy at times with the risk of gales in western areas.

Updated: 1115 on Mon 30 Nov 2009

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http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Tue Dec 01, 2009 11:52 am 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
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Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Doesn't look too good to be honest, early days yet, but the 'models'
keep us in this mobile zonal flow for at least another 2 weeks.
:cry:

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Tue Dec 01, 2009 1:02 pm 
Professor
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Perhaps I should post the extended outlook everyday and see how it changes !

UK Outlook for Sunday 6 Dec 2009 to Tuesday 15 Dec 2009:
Sunday will see outbreaks of heavy rain spreading across all areas with strong to gale force southwesterly winds. This rain may be especially prolonged in the east and southeast, but most other areas becoming brighter with showers later. Temperatures mild or near normal. Monday will see bright or sunny spells and scattered, occasionally heavy showers. For the rest of the week and the subsequent weekend the weather looks like it will remain unsettled with periods of heavy rain or showers, and possible occasional sleet or snow over Scottish Mountains. Windy with occasional gales or severe gales possible. Temperatures near normal in the south, rather cool in the north. The unsettled theme is expected to continue into the start of the following week, but possibly drier in the far southeast.

Updated: 1142 on Tue 1 Dec 2009

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 2:02 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Monday 7 Dec 2009 to Wednesday 16 Dec 2009:
A breezy, showery day is likely for many parts Monday, with showers heaviest, and locally prolonged, in the west, and the best of the sunshine in the east, with temperatures a little on the mild side of average. For the rest of the week and over the following weekend it looks like it will remain unsettled, with periods of heavy rain or showers, and with occasional sleet or snow over the Scottish Mountains. It will often be windy, with gales at times for some areas, perhaps locally severe. Temperatures are expected to be generally near normal in the south, rather cold in the north. This changeable weather may also continue into the start of the following week, but signs are that a drier, more settled spell may then develop.

Updated: 1203 on Wed 2 Dec 2009

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 3:41 pm 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
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Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
Paul, it may just be me (usually is), but for about the last 2/3 months the Met'O has had a problem in just getting the 24hr forecast right, so what chance for an 'extended period'?
I know that they got the November floods right (ish), but even that arrived at least 12 hrs late and there have been several other examples of mis-forecasting recently.
If it is 'just me' I most certainly will not be offended if any feels the need to tell me so.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 8:22 pm 
Professor
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Darren I think you are right. The forecasts are sometimes way out, they generalise to much for me, its not local enough. Take Cumbria, second biggest county in the country I think yet its treated as one weather area. Now look down in the Manchester/Liverpool/Lancs area there appears to be dozens of "weather " areas. The whole of these area would fit nicely to Cumbria, why. Looks like its based on admnistrative areas

Got carried away there - look at the weather warning page and you will know what I am on about

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:28 pm 
Professor
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Tuesday 8 Dec 2009 to Thursday 17 Dec 2009:
Tuesday and Wednesday continue unsettled with rain for everyone. Some of this will be heavy and persistent, particularly on higher ground in western parts of the UK. It will be windy with gales or severe gales around exposed western hills and coasts. Temperatures above normal and mild in the south. From Thursday (10th) until Saturday (12th) the weather stays unsettled with a mix of sunshine and showers. The showers are likely to be of snow over the Scottish mountains and later over Snowdonia and the Pennines. Some drier and brighter weather can be expected too but it will stay windy with temperatures starting to fall away to near normal. From Sunday (13th) until Thursday (17th) it is likely to stay unsettled with near normal temperatures.

Updated: 1116 on Thu 3 Dec 2009

Will Hand on Uk,sci,weather is reporting a battleground developing to the east, perhaps some northern blocking in a weeks time or so, I still thinks its generally mild for another 7-9days then its all change ?

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 9:06 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Wednesday 9 Dec 2009 to Friday 18 Dec 2009:
An unsettled start with showers or longer spells of rain, some of which will be heavy in the north and west. It will be windy with gales in the north and west and some snow over the Scottish mountains. Temperatures mostly near normal but milder in the south. From Friday (11th) to Sunday (13th) many northern and western parts of the UK continue unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, again heavy at times. Southern and eastern parts are likely to see drier weather but with some overnight fog and frost. Temperatures mostly near normal but mild at times in the south and colder later in parts of the north. From Monday (14th) until Friday (18th) it looks like staying unsettled with further rain at times.

Updated: 1120 on Fri 4 Dec 2009

Will Hand still going for a change in 7 days, pently of cold out there to the east?

EDIT I HAVE DELETED the chart as it was confusing

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
Imagehttps://twitter.com/#!/pacrabtree


Last edited by Paul C on Sat Dec 05, 2009 8:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sat Dec 05, 2009 10:55 am 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
Posts: 5442
Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Now, now...don't get too excited ;)

Another 2 weeks before that happens and its bound to change.

Great chart but I prefer a northerly anyday.

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http://www.coggabata.co.uk/weather.html


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sat Dec 05, 2009 12:04 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7609
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
I must have booked marked it wrong as its totally different today with a huge HP stuck over the top :oops:

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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