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 December Outlook 
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 12:31 am 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
Posts: 1864
Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
COLD - agree
SNOW - why not
will it be a cold snap or cold spell - whatever they may be.

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Maulds Meaburn


Last edited by darrog on Thu Dec 10, 2009 11:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:42 am 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
Posts: 5335
Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
My take on it:

Cold snap - 3/4 days.
Cold spell - 2/3 weeks.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 1:07 pm 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Monday 14 Dec 2009 to Wednesday 23 Dec 2009:
On Monday, cold with slow-clearing mist or fog in the south and west although there is a risk of showers or outbreaks of rain, turning to snow over higher ground, in the north and east through the day. Remaining cold and mostly dry in many areas through the rest of the week although there is the potential for blustery wintry showers especially across northern and eastern parts. The nights will be frosty in many places with some persistent fog or freezing fog also forming. From Saturday and for the rest of the period it is likely to remain cold or even very cold and rather breezy at times. It could also turn more unsettled bringing a further risk of snow showers, especially to northern and eastern parts.

Updated: 1153 on Wed 9 Dec 2009

Cold theme continues

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:18 pm 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
Posts: 1864
Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
go with you on the cold snap 3/4 days, but that cold spell of 2/3 weeks seems a long time to me, I'd go for 7 days myself.
Imagine what the CG advocates and BBC forecasters would make of a 2/3 week cold spell, they's have us believe it was a new ice age, the longest in history and would really fox them

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Maulds Meaburn


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 6:15 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Tuesday 15 Dec 2009 to Thursday 24 Dec 2009:
It will be cold or rather cold at first, with showers which may be prolonged at times across northern and eastern parts and perhaps moving into central areas at times. Some showers likely to fall as sleet or snow. Overnight frost is likely in many areas with fog in places. By the end of the week and over the weekend, staying cold or perhaps even turning very cold, with an increased risk of longer spells of sleet and snow. It is also likely to be windy at times making it feel even colder. At this stage, the cold and unsettled weather seems likely continue after next weekend with more spells of rain, sleet and snow, especially in the north and east.

Updated: 1150 on Thu 10 Dec 2009

Cold spell looks nailed on now - will be interesting to see how the day to day weather now pans out, this could be our best chance of a decent cold spell with snow for Christmas - will post the Christmas chart on the other thread. So snow showers by Tuesday ?

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 11:55 pm 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
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Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
It's happening - websites, forecasters, etc are talking of a 'cold snap' this weekend.
I'm going to have to put long trousers on, shorts packed away until March.
I know that only two of us were brave (daft) enough to make 'winter predictions', but this cold period could help us both out - I had predicted 'one significant snow event' - whilst a white X'mas wasn't what I had in mind, would it count? would surely be significant?

after 10 days of December 2008 I had a mean of 1.7c - currently at 5.3c - early days, but I need that cold snap/spell fairly quickly.

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Maulds Meaburn


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2009 1:00 pm 
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Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 Dec 2009 to Friday 25 Dec 2009:
Western and central parts of the UK will stay dry with clear or sunny spells. It will be cold with some overnight fog and frost. Eastern areas as well as Northern Scotland will be cloudy with rain at times, which may fall as snow over hills. Temperatures mostly cold but the north of Scotland will be windy with near normal temperatures. From Friday (18th) until Sunday (21st) many northern and eastern parts will continue cloudy with rain or sleet at times, but perhaps some snow over hills. Further south and west, drier and brighter but with a risk of rain, sleet or snow spreading from the east . Windy around coasts and feeling very cold with overnight frost. From Monday 22nd until Christmas Day little change is expected.

Updated: 1120 on Fri 11 Dec 2009

Less favourable today, only talking about snow on hills - generally I feel looking at this it will be cold until Christmas, less confident now about prolonged snowfall, lets hope its changes again

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
Imagehttps://twitter.com/#!/pacrabtree


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 11:42 am 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
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Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
In 36hrs the month mean as already dropped to 4.5c from 5.3c - give it another 2-4 days and could be below 4.0c

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Darren Rogers - he who submits the most interesting posts, AKA Mr Data
Maulds Meaburn


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 3:20 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Thursday 17 Dec 2009 to Saturday 26 Dec 2009:
The cold weather continues with a biting northeasterly wind and some sleet or snow showers. These are likely to be most frequent in eastern parts with the risk of some heavy snow over high ground. Western parts of the UK will be mostly dry and have the best of the sunshine. From Saturday (19th) until Monday (21st) the weather remains cold with overnight frost and some icy surfaces. Further rain, sleet and snow showers are likely in eastern and northeastern parts but with a risk of the wintry weather spreading to many parts of the UK. Breezy at times and feeling very cold in the wind. From Monday (21st) until Boxing Day (26th) it looks like staying cold with further wintry showers.

Updated: 1111 on Sat 12 Dec 2009

More favourable again - cold theme has been maintained now for a few days

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Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
Imagehttps://twitter.com/#!/pacrabtree


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 4:14 pm 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Sat Nov 14, 2009 10:57 am
Posts: 3126
Location: Seaton
Altitude: 40
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Looks like next weekend may be the one to watch for us withe cold air heading south.

Potential, if nothing certian at this stage.


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