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 December Outlook 
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 4:46 pm 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
Posts: 5335
Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
The great thing about this is that the cold air has (or will) come early in the winter.
We're only just half-way through december so potential for a good winter ahead.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 8:23 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Friday 18 Dec 2009 to Sunday 27 Dec 2009:
Initially it looks likely to be cold with sleet and snow showers, most of which will fall in northern and eastern areas, giving accumulations of snow in places. There is also the risk of some more persistent sleet or snow at times in northern parts whereas the driest conditions are most likely to occur in the south and west. There is also a risk of freezing fog patches. Many parts windy with a significant wind chill making it feel very cold. As we move into the following week we are likely to see a period of sleet and snow moving northwards across the UK, turning to rain in the south. Then, over the Christmas period we currently expect unsettled and occasionally windy conditions, and perhaps turning less cold at times.

Updated: 1254 on Sun 13 Dec 2009

Cold "period" coming up, snow is on the cards but it may be all over by Christmas

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Mon Dec 14, 2009 7:44 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Saturday 19 Dec 2009 to Monday 28 Dec 2009:
Cloudy with rain, sleet or snow in the north throughout with some significant snowfall possible over high ground and hills in Scotland and northwestern England. Most southern and central parts should be dry and cold with bright or sunny spells at first, but cloud and rain, sleet or snow in the north will gradually spread southwards to many areas during the week. Temperatures are likely to be rather cold or cold throughout, especially overnight, with frosts and icy conditions in many parts. Over the Christmas period it is likely to remain unsettled in most areas with further outbreaks of rain, sleet or snow. It may become milder from the south towards the end of the period.

Updated: 1231 on Mon 14 Dec 2009

Promising once again

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Tue Dec 15, 2009 11:32 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Dec 2009 to Tuesday 29 Dec 2009:
A mixture of sunny spells and showers or longer outbreaks of rain or snow will affect most parts at first, with some significant snowfall possible, particularly for Scotland and northern England. Cold generally, with the northwesterly winds making it feel even colder, and with frosty and icy surfaces in places. From Christmas Eve onwards, it is likely to remain unsettled and wintry in most northern areas with further outbreaks of rain, sleet or snow. Further south, cloud and rain seems likely to spread northwards, but quite probably preceded by a spell of snow in places. Temperatures may recover to near or above normal in parts of the south towards the end of the period, although this aspect is uncertain.

Updated: 1218 on Tue 15 Dec 2009

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 16, 2009 11:00 am 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
I am now getting a little worried about this "cold" spell. Just trawled through all the met Office forecasts and this is a rough offering for the next 4 days for me in Brampton
Thursday - Dry Day +4c -2c at night
Friday - Dry Day +4c -3c at night (possible sleet shower ) - how you can have sleet at -3c is beyond me
Saturday Sleet showers +2c -2c at night
Sunday Dry day, +2c -2c at night

I know its a very general forecast and perhaps is centered on somewhere else ? Its even got Walney as +6c on Saturday.

I thought this time around it had great potential, lets hope there are a few changes

EDIT - I have just grabbed this from the same page from the Mountain weather section "
Sunday
A bright day with scattered wintry showers at all levels. Lying snow will drift in the gale force northwesterly winds"

so if we have wintry showers at all levels, how come the main forecast says dry - I give up.

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 16, 2009 12:18 pm 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
Posts: 5335
Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Oh that's just Met speak, take no notice. ;)

Looks more promising after Sunday now, once the cold air
settles in. Still have that 528DAM line plus 850 below -5
so snow to sea level.

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http://www.coggabata.co.uk/weather.html


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 16, 2009 2:24 pm 
Chief Area Forecaster
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 9:25 pm
Posts: 5335
Location: Drumburgh
Altitude: 7m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
Just in Sunday Warning:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/nw/nw_forecast_warnings.html

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http://www.coggabata.co.uk/weather.html


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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 16, 2009 6:43 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Monday 21 Dec 2009 to Wednesday 30 Dec 2009:
A mixture of sunny spells and showers or longer outbreaks of rain or snow will affect most parts at first, with some significant snowfall possible, particularly for Scotland and northern England. Cold generally, with the northwesterly winds making it feel even colder, and with frosty and icy surfaces in places. From Thursday (24th) onwards, it is likely to remain unsettled and wintry in most northern areas with further outbreaks of rain, sleet or snow. Further south, cloud and rain seems likely to spread northwards, but quite probably preceded by a spell of snow in places. Temperatures may recover to near or above normal in parts of the south towards the end of the period with more wintry showers continuing in the north, although this aspect is uncertain.

Updated: 1153 on Wed 16 Dec 2009

Looks like altitude may be the key now. I,m certain we will see snow on Sunday onwards

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Wed Dec 16, 2009 10:58 pm 
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 10:23 pm
Posts: 1864
Location: Maulds Meaburn, Cumbria
Altitude: 183
Weather Station: Davis VPro2
Just read the Met'o weather warning for Sunday - ARE THEY HAVING A LAUGH?
A warning for 2-5cm (yes cm's) of snow, last time I looked 2 cm's was less than one inch - we're doomed, the country will grind to a halt.
I must have a look for any warnings in the SE, if there are any and they come true (?) it's quite obvious what the lead item will be on the news - good job its not for Monday.

the police will be advising against non essential journeys, shops will run dry of all basic commodities and then (and I think that there must be a prize for the first person to post that they have seen/heard this on the tv) someone will blame it on 'the wrong type of snow'.

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 Post subject: Re: December Outlook
PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 7:42 pm 
Professor
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
Posts: 7476
Location: Brampton
Altitude: 117m
Weather Station: Davis VP2
UK Outlook for Tuesday 22 Dec 2009 to Thursday 31 Dec 2009:
It looks likely to be generally unsettled next week with a mixture of clear or brighter spells and showers or longer spells of rain, sleet or snow across most parts. Some heavier precipitation is likely but across southern areas the precipitation looks more likely to fall as rain or sleet. Cold, especially across northern areas with overnight frosts and icy surfaces in places. Windy at times too making it feel even colder. By next weekend it looks like the unsettled weather is set to continue but with the main sleet and snow risk continuing in the north. Temperatures may recover to near or above normal in parts of the south towards the end of the period but more wintry weather may continue in the north, although this aspect is uncertain.

Updated: 1200 on Thu 17 Dec 2009

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Paul C
Brampton. 117m ASL.
http://www.bramptonweather.co.uk
Imagehttps://twitter.com/#!/pacrabtree


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