Are we heading for a drought this Summer

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Admin1
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Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Admin1 » Thu Jun 17, 2010 8:06 pm

First news reports regards drought were on the TV yesterday, talk of the driest spring since records began etc.
Any thoughts ?

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Paul C
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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Paul C » Thu Jun 17, 2010 11:37 pm

On Weathview tonight at 2155hrs Peter Gibb said it was the driest start to the year since 1966

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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by embayweather » Fri Jun 18, 2010 3:26 pm

My readings for the past few months are around 30% of average for rainfall, and we have already heard requests for water conservation. Strange they do not conserve the bill at the same time!! However, we did have a wet winter and I would have thought levels were good after that. I saw a long range forecast on another forum suggesting that July and August were going to be cloudy and damp, with summer coming again in September. we shall see. In some respects it might be interesting to visit a certain flooded village in Cumbria again if water levels do drop, I somehow doubt that we will. It seem this past few years most of my weddings in summer (I am a photographer) have been wet, and I am preparing for the same again this year.
We shall see.

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Mike
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Anne
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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Anne » Sat Jun 19, 2010 2:58 pm

At last I've sat down and done the sums for January to May rainfall. Drought is true I think!!!
Anne

First 5 months rainfall (Jan to May incl)
1987 343.6mm
1988 376.9
1989 281.6
1990 388.2
1991 344.2
1992 322.4
1993 372.5
1994 329.1
1995 403.1 2nd wettest
1996 207.2 2nd driest
1997 286.1
1998 365.5
1999 377.8
2000 378.0
2001 239.4
2002 408.8 wettest
2003 269.0
2004 334.2
2005 357.4
2006 350.4
2007 304.0
2008 375.6
2009 250.5
2010 186.2 driest

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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Carl M » Sat Jun 19, 2010 4:11 pm

Nice work Anne.

Ok, here are my highest/lowest rainfall totals for the first 6 months of the year:

Data from 1991 to present

Highest 531mm 2002
2nd 502mm 1999

Lowest 242 1996
2nd 243 2010 (so far)

Surprised as I thought this would be the driest year - oh well just goes to show.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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Paul C
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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Paul C » Sat Jun 19, 2010 8:11 pm

My Stats First 6months Jan-June
2000 - 456.4 (wettest)
2001 - 296.0
2002 - 472.2
2003 - 303.6
2004 - 447.5
2005 - 412.2
2006 - 403.5
2007 - 433.5
2008 - 445.3
2009 - 292.8
2010 - 217.8 (driest)

10yr average for this time of year 380.1 - so I think we are on 50.3% rainfall, in other words dry.

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Paul C
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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Paul C » Mon Jun 21, 2010 1:14 pm

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/st ... 10_web.pdf

above link now dead, superceded by the one below (edit)

Interesting read regards water levels
Last edited by Paul C on Wed Jun 23, 2010 8:07 am, edited 1 time in total.

tucco
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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by tucco » Wed Jun 23, 2010 7:21 am

Hosepipe ban carn't be more a week or so away now for Cumbria. Things not as bad over here. Kelder still at 87%, although Teesdale Group is low.

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/st ... June10.pdf


Loving the dry sunny weather.

Mark

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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Paul C » Thu Jun 24, 2010 10:32 am

Drought crisis deepens :)
http://www.tinyurls.co.uk/W6098

Driest since 1929 is now quoted - I wonder where they get there data from

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Re: Are we heading for a drought this Summer

Post by Paul C » Thu Jun 24, 2010 10:51 am

http://www.unitedutilities.com/Keepingt ... lowing.htm.

Actual stock Change since last week
Regional total 67.7% -3.1%
North & West Cumbria 58.7% -7.1%
Haweswater & Thirlmere 54.4% -3.4%
Pennine sources 59.8% -2.9%
Dee & Vyrnwy reservoirs 81.3% -2.8%

Haweswater and Thirlmere at 54% that must be worrying with 2 months of summer to go

I am still looking for the 1929 quote though ? can see as yet where it comes from.

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